{"id":350643,"date":"2025-04-25T02:56:29","date_gmt":"2025-04-25T02:56:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zfx-id.com\/?post_type=market_outlook&#038;p=350643"},"modified":"2025-04-25T03:01:34","modified_gmt":"2025-04-25T03:01:34","slug":"deutsche-bank-prediksi-dolar-as-akan-melemah-tajam-awal-tren-penurunan-besar-di-pasar-valas-global","status":"publish","type":"market_outlook","link":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/market-outlook\/deutsche-bank-prediksi-dolar-as-akan-melemah-tajam-awal-tren-penurunan-besar-di-pasar-valas-global\/","title":{"rendered":"Deutsche Bank Prediksi Dolar AS Akan Melemah Tajam: Awal Tren Penurunan Besar di Pasar Valas Global"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/r7k8zIYfBxQ?autoplay=1&amp;mute=1\" title=\"YouTube video player\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen=\"\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<div 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prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-qkdtj-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-qkdtj-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-9\">\n<div class=\"w-full text-token-text-primary\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-13\">\n<div class=\"px-4 py-2 justify-center text-base md:gap-6 m-auto\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-1 text-base mx-auto gap-3 md:px-5 lg:px-1 xl:px-5 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem] group final-completion\">\n<div class=\"relative flex w-full flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start gap-3 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"7868deb0-e8b7-4305-a4a9-4786b33873af\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-kxnzg-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-kxnzg-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-9\">\n<div class=\"w-full text-token-text-primary\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-13\">\n<div class=\"px-4 py-2 justify-center text-base md:gap-6 m-auto\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-1 text-base mx-auto gap-3 md:px-5 lg:px-1 xl:px-5 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem] group final-completion\">\n<div class=\"relative flex w-full flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start gap-3 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"6209f3e8-062f-4122-b3f7-6b0197e2aab2\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-liswf-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-liswf-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-9\">\n<div class=\"w-full text-token-text-primary\" dir=\"auto\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-13\">\n<div class=\"px-4 py-2 justify-center text-base md:gap-6 m-auto\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-1 text-base mx-auto gap-3 juice:gap-4 juice:md:gap-6 md:px-5 lg:px-1 xl:px-5 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem]\">\n<div class=\"relative flex w-full flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start gap-3 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"b919bdf6-08d8-43b0-b8b6-aab48c32b431\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-gruxq-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-gruxq-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-9\">\n<div class=\"w-full text-token-text-primary\" dir=\"auto\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-13\">\n<div class=\"px-4 py-2 justify-center text-base md:gap-6 m-auto\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-1 text-base mx-auto gap-3 juice:gap-4 juice:md:gap-6 md:px-5 lg:px-1 xl:px-5 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem]\">\n<div class=\"relative flex w-full flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start gap-3 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"80cbb2ab-c1c6-4376-943b-2449ea21a6f2\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 juice:w-full juice:items-end overflow-x-auto gap-2\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"57f36135-e0a1-4a64-a431-c798af6296aa\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 juice:first:pt-[3px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"flex-shrink-0 flex flex-col relative items-end\">\n<div class=\"pt-0\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"552\">Analis Deutsche Bank telah merevisi proyeksi mereka terhadap dolar AS, dengan memperkirakan dimulainya tren penurunan besar untuk mata uang tersebut. Pergeseran pandangan ini dipengaruhi oleh sejumlah perubahan kebijakan signifikan di berbagai belahan dunia. Mereka menyoroti perubahan paling drastis dalam kebijakan perdagangan AS dalam satu abad terakhir, perubahan fiskal penting di Jerman sejak reunifikasi, serta penilaian ulang besar terhadap kepemimpinan geopolitik AS sejak Perang Dunia II sebagai faktor utama yang mendorong prediksi tersebut.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"554\" data-end=\"1102\">Dalam laporannya, Deutsche Bank mengakhiri narasi \u201chigher for longer\u201d untuk dolar, dan memproyeksikan penguatan nilai tukar EUR\/USD menuju paritas daya beli sebesar 1.30 hingga akhir dekade ini. Prediksi ini didasarkan pada sejumlah faktor, termasuk menurunnya keinginan komunitas internasional untuk membiayai defisit kembar AS yang membengkak, penurunan bertahap kepemilikan aset AS yang sebelumnya tinggi, serta kecenderungan yang lebih kuat di negara-negara lain untuk memanfaatkan ruang fiskal domestik guna mendorong pertumbuhan dan konsumsi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1104\" data-end=\"1644\">Para analis juga menekankan bahwa ketidakpastian global yang ekstrem serta perubahan cepat dalam norma kebijakan menciptakan risiko tinggi terhadap gangguan pasar dan pergeseran rezim ekonomi. Mereka mengakui perlunya tetap fleksibel dalam menyusun proyeksi dan siap menyesuaikan pandangan jika skala perubahan kebijakan semakin meluas. Secara keseluruhan, analisis Deutsche Bank mencerminkan tinjauan menyeluruh terhadap perkembangan ekonomi dan politik global, serta dampaknya terhadap masa depan dolar AS dan pasar mata uang secara umum.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1104\" data-end=\"1644\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-350644 size-1536x1536\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/EURUSD_2025-04-25_09-48-58-1536x754.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1536\" height=\"754\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/EURUSD_2025-04-25_09-48-58-300x147.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/EURUSD_2025-04-25_09-48-58-1024x503.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/EURUSD_2025-04-25_09-48-58-768x377.png 768w, https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/EURUSD_2025-04-25_09-48-58-1536x754.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/EURUSD_2025-04-25_09-48-58.png 1781w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1536px) 100vw, 1536px\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3 aria-level=\"2\">Trading Idea<\/h3>\n<h3 aria-level=\"2\">\u00a0<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Order EURUSD: Buy Limit @ 1.12998<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>TP 1: 1.13701<span data-teams=\"true\"> (+71 Pips)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>TP 2: 1.14142<span data-teams=\"true\"> (+115 Pips)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>SL: 1.12581<span data-teams=\"true\"> (-41 Pips)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span class=\"ui-provider a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z ab ac ae af ag ah ai aj ak\" dir=\"ltr\">Intraday Trading, Medium Risk<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Disclaimer: Trading idea pada situs web ini disediakan sebagai informasi pasar umum untuk tujuan pendidikan. Ada risiko kehilangan uang dalam perdagangan. Kinerja masa lalu belum tentu menunjukkan hasil di masa depan.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<p>Gabung group telegram <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/KomunitasZFX\">ZFX Trader_Official<\/a>\u00a0untuk update analisis hari ini!<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;&#8212;<\/p>\n<p><b>Peringatan Risiko:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Konten di atas hanya untuk referensi dan tidak mewakili posisi ZFX. ZFX tidak menanggung segala bentuk kerugian yang disebabkan oleh operasi perdagangan apa pun yang dilakukan oleh artikel ini. Harap tegas dalam pemikiran Anda dan lakukan pengendalian risiko yang sesuai.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Spesial Promo dari ZFX Indonesia<\/b>:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Trading jadi Halal dengan <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/zeal.promo\/id\/akunislamiswapfree?utm_source=website&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_campaign=cnv_id_id_idua_announcement_telegram-community-promo_240514&amp;utm_content=article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Swap ZFX<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/my.id-zfx.com\/reg\/live?utm_source=website&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_campaign=AWA_ID_ID_RC_dailyarticle_220913&amp;utm_content=article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Mulai Tradin<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/my.id-zfx.com\/reg?utm_source=telegram&amp;utm_medium=messenger&amp;utm_campaign=cnv_id_id_idua_announcement_telegram-community-regist_240514&amp;is_paid=false\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">g!<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2014\u2014<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ZFX (Zeal Capital Market)<\/a>\u00a0is an FCA &amp; FSA licensed online Forex &amp; CFD broker providing more than 100 products for\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Forex<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/commodities\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">commodities<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/shares\/\">stock indices<\/a>, and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/shares\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">share CFDs<\/a>.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/my.id-zfx.com\/reg?utm_source=website&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_campaign=cnv_id_id_idua_announcement_telegram-community-regist_240514&amp;utm_content=article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Open a trading account<\/a>\u00a0with min. USD 50 deposit and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.zfx.android\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">download our MT4 trading platform<\/a>\u00a0now!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analis Deutsche Bank telah merevisi proyeksi mereka terhadap dolar AS, dengan memperkirakan dimulainya tren penurunan besar untuk mata uang tersebut. Pergeseran pandangan ini dipengaruhi oleh sejumlah perubahan kebijakan signifikan di berbagai belahan dunia. Mereka menyoroti perubahan paling drastis dalam kebijakan perdagangan AS dalam satu abad terakhir, perubahan fiskal penting di Jerman sejak reunifikasi, serta penilaian [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":158,"featured_media":350645,"template":"","market_outlook_categories":[],"market_outlook_tags":[],"class_list":["post-350643","market_outlook","type-market_outlook","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"current_lang":"id","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/350643","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_outlook"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/158"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/350643\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/350645"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=350643"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_categories?post=350643"},{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_tags?post=350643"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}