{"id":347949,"date":"2025-01-09T04:05:52","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T04:05:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zfx-id.com\/?post_type=market_outlook&#038;p=347949"},"modified":"2025-01-09T04:10:06","modified_gmt":"2025-01-09T04:10:06","slug":"dolar-as-cetak-rekor-55-tahun-overvaluasi-tertinggi-dan-prediksi-tren-2025","status":"publish","type":"market_outlook","link":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/market-outlook\/dolar-as-cetak-rekor-55-tahun-overvaluasi-tertinggi-dan-prediksi-tren-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar AS Cetak Rekor 55 Tahun: Overvaluasi Tertinggi dan Prediksi Tren 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/r7k8zIYfBxQ?autoplay=1&amp;mute=1\" title=\"YouTube video player\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen=\"\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<div class=\"group w-full text-token-text-primary border-b border-black\/10 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light\">\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-kxnzg-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-kxnzg-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-9\">\n<div class=\"w-full text-token-text-primary\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-13\">\n<div class=\"px-4 py-2 justify-center text-base md:gap-6 m-auto\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-1 text-base mx-auto gap-3 md:px-5 lg:px-1 xl:px-5 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem] group final-completion\">\n<div class=\"relative flex w-full flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start gap-3 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"6209f3e8-062f-4122-b3f7-6b0197e2aab2\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-liswf-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-liswf-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-9\">\n<div class=\"w-full text-token-text-primary\" dir=\"auto\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-13\">\n<div class=\"px-4 py-2 justify-center text-base md:gap-6 m-auto\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-1 text-base mx-auto gap-3 juice:gap-4 juice:md:gap-6 md:px-5 lg:px-1 xl:px-5 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem]\">\n<div class=\"relative flex w-full flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start gap-3 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"b919bdf6-08d8-43b0-b8b6-aab48c32b431\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-gruxq-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-gruxq-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-9\">\n<div class=\"w-full text-token-text-primary\" dir=\"auto\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-13\">\n<div class=\"px-4 py-2 justify-center text-base md:gap-6 m-auto\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-1 text-base mx-auto gap-3 juice:gap-4 juice:md:gap-6 md:px-5 lg:px-1 xl:px-5 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem]\">\n<div class=\"relative flex w-full flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start gap-3 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"80cbb2ab-c1c6-4376-943b-2449ea21a6f2\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 juice:w-full juice:items-end overflow-x-auto gap-2\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"57f36135-e0a1-4a64-a431-c798af6296aa\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 juice:first:pt-[3px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"flex-shrink-0 flex flex-col relative items-end\">\n<div class=\"pt-0\">\n<p>Dolar AS menguat tajam sejak pemilihan presiden AS, mencapai level tertinggi dalam 55 tahun menurut Bank of America (BoA) Securities. BoA mencatat, dalam istilah nilai tukar efektif, dolar AS berada di puncak tren kenaikan panjang sejak 2011 dan menjadi yang terkuat dalam 30 tahun terakhir berdasarkan indeks BIS NEER (nominal effective exchange rate).<\/p>\n<p>BoA menilai dolar AS saat ini overvalued hingga 18,5%, mendekati level tertinggi selama 30 tahun, kecuali saat krisis energi akibat perang Ukraina 2022. Overvaluasi ini melonjak 6,4% sejak akhir kuartal tiga tahun lalu, terutama akibat pemilu AS. Sebagai perbandingan, overvaluasi pada 2016 hanya 9,4% setelah Trump terpilih.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar diproyeksikan tetap kuat dalam jangka pendek karena kebijakan inflasi dan tarif AS. Namun, diperkirakan melemah akhir tahun ini karena dampak negatif kebijakan tersebut pada ekonomi AS dan reaksi dunia. Risiko besar tetap ada akibat ketidakpastian kebijakan, menurut BoA.<\/p>\n<p class=\"gizmo-bot-avatar flex h-8 w-8 items-center justify-center overflow-hidden rounded-full\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3 aria-level=\"2\">Trading Idea<br \/><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-347953\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/USDCAD_2025-01-09_11-08-34-300x183.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"811\" height=\"495\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/USDCAD_2025-01-09_11-08-34-300x183.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/USDCAD_2025-01-09_11-08-34-1024x625.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/USDCAD_2025-01-09_11-08-34-768x469.png 768w, https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/USDCAD_2025-01-09_11-08-34.png 1459w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 811px) 100vw, 811px\" \/><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Order: Buy Limit @ 1.43535<\/p>\n<p>TP 1: 1.43907 (+37 Pips)<\/p>\n<p>TP 2: 1.44045 (+50 Pips)<\/p>\n<p>SL: 1.43327<span data-teams=\"true\"> (-20 Pips)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span class=\"ui-provider a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z ab ac ae af ag ah ai aj ak\" dir=\"ltr\">Swing Trading, High Risk<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Disclaimer: Trading idea pada situs web ini disediakan sebagai informasi pasar umum untuk tujuan pendidikan. Ada risiko kehilangan uang dalam perdagangan. Kinerja masa lalu belum tentu menunjukkan hasil di masa depan.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<p>Gabung group telegram <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/KomunitasZFX\">ZFX Trader_Official<\/a>\u00a0untuk update analisis hari ini!<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;&#8212;<\/p>\n<p><b>Peringatan Risiko:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Konten di atas hanya untuk referensi dan tidak mewakili posisi ZFX. ZFX tidak menanggung segala bentuk kerugian yang disebabkan oleh operasi perdagangan apa pun yang dilakukan oleh artikel ini. Harap tegas dalam pemikiran Anda dan lakukan pengendalian risiko yang sesuai.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Spesial Promo dari ZFX Indonesia<\/b>:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Trading jadi Halal dengan <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/zeal.promo\/id\/akunislamiswapfree?utm_source=website&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_campaign=cnv_id_id_idua_announcement_telegram-community-promo_240514&amp;utm_content=article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Swap ZFX<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/my.id-zfx.com\/reg\/live?utm_source=website&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_campaign=AWA_ID_ID_RC_dailyarticle_220913&amp;utm_content=article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Mulai Tradin<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/my.id-zfx.com\/reg?utm_source=telegram&amp;utm_medium=messenger&amp;utm_campaign=cnv_id_id_idua_announcement_telegram-community-regist_240514&amp;is_paid=false\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">g!<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2014\u2014<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ZFX (Zeal Capital Market)<\/a>\u00a0is an FCA &amp; FSA licensed online Forex &amp; CFD broker providing more than 100 products for\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Forex<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/commodities\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">commodities<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/shares\/\">stock indices<\/a>, and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/shares\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">share CFDs<\/a>.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/my.id-zfx.com\/reg?utm_source=website&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_campaign=cnv_id_id_idua_announcement_telegram-community-regist_240514&amp;utm_content=article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Open a trading account<\/a>\u00a0with min. USD 50 deposit and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.zfx.android\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">download our MT4 trading platform<\/a>\u00a0now!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar AS menguat tajam sejak pemilihan presiden AS, mencapai level tertinggi dalam 55 tahun menurut Bank of America (BoA) Securities. BoA mencatat, dalam istilah nilai tukar efektif, dolar AS berada di puncak tren kenaikan panjang sejak 2011 dan menjadi yang terkuat dalam 30 tahun terakhir berdasarkan indeks BIS NEER (nominal effective exchange rate). BoA menilai [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":192,"featured_media":347954,"template":"","market_outlook_categories":[],"market_outlook_tags":[],"class_list":["post-347949","market_outlook","type-market_outlook","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"current_lang":"id","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/347949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_outlook"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/192"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/347949\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/347954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=347949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_categories?post=347949"},{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_tags?post=347949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}