{"id":343911,"date":"2024-08-21T04:50:13","date_gmt":"2024-08-21T04:50:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/?post_type=market_outlook&#038;p=343911"},"modified":"2024-08-21T04:50:18","modified_gmt":"2024-08-21T04:50:18","slug":"yen-menguat-dampak-signifikan-ke-laba-perusahaan-jepang-prediksi-dan-strategi-investasi-menurut-jefferies","status":"publish","type":"market_outlook","link":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/market-outlook\/yen-menguat-dampak-signifikan-ke-laba-perusahaan-jepang-prediksi-dan-strategi-investasi-menurut-jefferies\/","title":{"rendered":"Yen Menguat, Dampak Signifikan ke Laba Perusahaan Jepang: Prediksi dan Strategi Investasi Menurut Jefferies"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/r7k8zIYfBxQ?autoplay=1&amp;mute=1\" title=\"YouTube video player\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen=\"\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" 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data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"7868deb0-e8b7-4305-a4a9-4786b33873af\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-kxnzg-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-kxnzg-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-9\">\n<div class=\"w-full text-token-text-primary\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-13\">\n<div class=\"px-4 py-2 justify-center text-base md:gap-6 m-auto\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-1 text-base mx-auto gap-3 md:px-5 lg:px-1 xl:px-5 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem] group final-completion\">\n<div class=\"relative flex w-full flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start gap-3 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"6209f3e8-062f-4122-b3f7-6b0197e2aab2\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-liswf-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-liswf-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-9\">\n<div class=\"w-full text-token-text-primary\" dir=\"auto\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-13\">\n<div class=\"px-4 py-2 justify-center text-base md:gap-6 m-auto\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-1 text-base mx-auto gap-3 juice:gap-4 juice:md:gap-6 md:px-5 lg:px-1 xl:px-5 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem]\">\n<div class=\"relative flex w-full flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start gap-3 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"b919bdf6-08d8-43b0-b8b6-aab48c32b431\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-gruxq-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-gruxq-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-9\">\n<div class=\"w-full text-token-text-primary\" dir=\"auto\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-13\">\n<div class=\"px-4 py-2 justify-center text-base md:gap-6 m-auto\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-1 text-base mx-auto gap-3 juice:gap-4 juice:md:gap-6 md:px-5 lg:px-1 xl:px-5 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem]\">\n<div class=\"relative flex w-full flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start gap-3 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"80cbb2ab-c1c6-4376-943b-2449ea21a6f2\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-grow flex-col max-w-full\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex flex-col items-start whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 juice:w-full juice:items-end overflow-x-auto gap-2\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"57f36135-e0a1-4a64-a431-c798af6296aa\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 juice:first:pt-[3px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"flex-shrink-0 flex flex-col relative items-end\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"pt-0\">\n<div class=\"gizmo-bot-avatar flex h-8 w-8 items-center justify-center overflow-hidden rounded-full\">\n<div class=\"relative p-1 rounded-sm flex items-center justify-center bg-token-main-surface-primary text-token-text-primary h-8 w-8\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\/conversation-turn relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col flex-grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-[20px] text-message flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 whitespace-pre-wrap break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5 overflow-x-auto\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"39001c60-b28f-486f-ae50-48e327c63878\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[3px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<p>Yen menguat tajam bulan lalu setelah Bank of Japan mulai menaikkan suku bunga, memicu pembalikan yen carry trade yang mendorong aliran modal ke pasar berisiko. Jefferies memprediksi perubahan signifikan pada yen, dengan posisi panjang pada yen diperkirakan mempengaruhi laba perusahaan di Jepang. Yen biasanya menguat 25% selama pembalikan carry trade, dengan target USDJPY di 140 yen, namun bisa turun ke 120 yen jika ekonomi AS melemah.<\/p>\n<p>Setiap apresiasi yen 10% menyebabkan penurunan laba tahunan 5% dalam 1-2 tahun, dan bisa mencapai 20% saat krisis global, terutama sektor ekspor. Indeks Nikkei 225 dan TOPIX jatuh awal Agustus, mencerminkan penurunan laba 5% dengan USDJPY di 146 yen. Sektor domestik mungkin diuntungkan, sementara sektor ekspor paling terpengaruh.<\/p>\n<p>Meski dampak negatif jangka pendek, Jefferies menyarankan investor overweight Jepang jika yen terus menguat. Pasar Jepang mungkin jatuh dalam mata uang lokal, namun menguat dalam dolar. Saham dengan risiko rendah dan kualitas tinggi, serta sektor real estate, makanan dan minuman, energi, dan layanan konsumen diperkirakan akan diuntungkan dari yen yang lebih kuat.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3 aria-level=\"2\">Trading Idea<br \/><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-343912\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/USDJPY_2024-08-21_11-47-15-300x217.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"817\" height=\"591\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/USDJPY_2024-08-21_11-47-15-300x217.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/USDJPY_2024-08-21_11-47-15-1024x740.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/USDJPY_2024-08-21_11-47-15-768x555.png 768w, https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/USDJPY_2024-08-21_11-47-15.png 1322w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 817px) 100vw, 817px\" \/><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Order: Sell Limit @146.026<\/p>\n<p>TP 1: 145.311 (+71 Pips)<br \/>TP 2: 145.002 (+101 Pips)<\/p>\n<p>SL: 146.292 (-27 Pips)<\/p>\n<p><strong><span class=\"ui-provider a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z ab ac ae af ag ah ai aj ak\" dir=\"ltr\">Swing Trading, Medium Risk<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Disclaimer: Trading idea pada situs web ini disediakan sebagai informasi pasar umum untuk tujuan pendidikan. Ada risiko kehilangan uang dalam perdagangan. Kinerja masa lalu belum tentu menunjukkan hasil di masa depan.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<p>Gabung group telegram <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/KomunitasZFX\">ZFX Trader_Official<\/a>\u00a0untuk update analisis hari ini!<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;&#8212;<\/p>\n<p><b>Peringatan Risiko:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Konten di atas hanya untuk referensi dan tidak mewakili posisi ZFX. ZFX tidak menanggung segala bentuk kerugian yang disebabkan oleh operasi perdagangan apa pun yang dilakukan oleh artikel ini. Harap tegas dalam pemikiran Anda dan lakukan pengendalian risiko yang sesuai.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Spesial Promo dari ZFX Indonesia<\/b>:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Trading jadi Halal dengan <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/zeal.promo\/id\/akunislamiswapfree?utm_source=website&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_campaign=cnv_id_id_idua_announcement_telegram-community-promo_240514&amp;utm_content=article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Swap ZFX<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/my.id-zfx.com\/reg\/live?utm_source=website&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_campaign=AWA_ID_ID_RC_dailyarticle_220913&amp;utm_content=article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Mulai Tradin<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/my.id-zfx.com\/reg?utm_source=telegram&amp;utm_medium=messenger&amp;utm_campaign=cnv_id_id_idua_announcement_telegram-community-regist_240514&amp;is_paid=false\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">g!<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2014\u2014<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ZFX (Zeal Capital Market)<\/a>\u00a0is an FCA &amp; FSA licensed online Forex &amp; CFD broker providing more than 100 products for\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Forex<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/commodities\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">commodities<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/shares\/\">stock indices<\/a>, and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.id-zfx.com\/id\/products\/shares\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">share CFDs<\/a>.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/my.id-zfx.com\/reg?utm_source=website&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_campaign=cnv_id_id_idua_announcement_telegram-community-regist_240514&amp;utm_content=article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Open a trading account<\/a>\u00a0with min. USD 50 deposit and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.zfx.android\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">download our MT4 trading platform<\/a>\u00a0now!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 Yen menguat tajam bulan lalu setelah Bank of Japan mulai menaikkan suku bunga, memicu pembalikan yen carry trade yang mendorong aliran modal ke pasar berisiko. Jefferies memprediksi perubahan signifikan pada yen, dengan posisi panjang pada yen diperkirakan mempengaruhi laba perusahaan di Jepang. Yen biasanya menguat 25% selama pembalikan carry trade, dengan target USDJPY di [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":192,"featured_media":343913,"template":"","market_outlook_categories":[],"market_outlook_tags":[],"class_list":["post-343911","market_outlook","type-market_outlook","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"current_lang":"id","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/343911","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_outlook"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/192"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/343911\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/343913"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=343911"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_categories?post=343911"},{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zm-area.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_tags?post=343911"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}